Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.021080 0.023273 0.025465 0.027814 0.030254 0.032711 0.035367
2025-03-09 0.016697 0.020181 0.023792 0.027787 0.032055 0.036457 0.041320
2025-03-16 0.013497 0.017681 0.022155 0.027227 0.032761 0.038567 0.045073
2025-03-23 0.011487 0.016182 0.021341 0.027310 0.033927 0.040956 0.048917
2025-03-30 0.009608 0.014623 0.020288 0.026971 0.034490 0.042568 0.051799
2025-04-06 0.007922 0.013120 0.019166 0.026438 0.034735 0.043742 0.054118
2025-04-13 0.006137 0.011323 0.017572 0.025257 0.034159 0.043931 0.055282
2025-04-20 0.005420 0.010799 0.017439 0.025720 0.035404 0.046104 0.058596
2025-04-27 0.004424 0.009805 0.016666 0.025375 0.035678 0.047151 0.060624
2025-05-04 0.003469 0.008758 0.015756 0.024813 0.035656 0.047827 0.062202
2025-05-11 0.002938 0.008258 0.015505 0.025018 0.036504 0.049468 0.064841
2025-05-18 0.002365 0.007621 0.015034 0.024921 0.036971 0.050653 0.066947
2025-05-25 0.001730 0.006838 0.014401 0.024695 0.037387 0.051903 0.069277
2025-06-01 0.001224 0.006184 0.013921 0.024668 0.038066 0.053493 0.072042
2025-06-08 0.000707 0.005327 0.013084 0.024138 0.038102 0.054309 0.073902
2025-06-15 0.000425 0.004841 0.012740 0.024217 0.038856 0.055943 0.076677
2025-06-22 0.000170 0.004210 0.012119 0.023895 0.039092 0.056948 0.078711
2025-06-29 0.000018 0.003555 0.011391 0.023391 0.039073 0.057630 0.080353
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002717 0.010257 0.022273 0.038248 0.057328 0.080829
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002546 0.010250 0.022711 0.039377 0.059347 0.083995
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002117 0.009721 0.022385 0.039517 0.060167 0.085750
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001664 0.009072 0.021853 0.039371 0.060627 0.087069
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001477 0.008929 0.022047 0.040153 0.062202 0.089687